Two years into a five-year, $64 million contract, Adrian Beltre has produced a .262 average, 44 home runs, and 176 RBIs. However, after the All Star break in 2006, Beltre slugged .552 with a whopping 18 home runs. Does this strong second half bode well for a turn-around in 2007, or will Mariners fans have to deal with 'A-Drain' once again? This blog intends to follow the 2007 season for Adrian Beltre, and the Seattle Mariners, and promises to hold no punches.
Well, it took all of eleven pitches before the Mariners were out of yesterday's game, when Magglio Orodnez knocked the first offering from Jeff Weaver over the fence to give the Tigers a 3-0 lead.
Eleven pitches. Sigh.
By dropping to the Tigers 7-3, Weaver has become the first Mariners starter to lose his first six decisions since John Cummings went 0-6 on the season in 1993. To get an idea of just how Weaver's poor start has been hurting the team, I created a little mathematical formula to see what his record would be like if he was performing at the averages created by the m's starting rotation. Basically i looked at how many decisions were getting started from the rest of the Mariners' starters (18 out of 24, or 75%) and then looked at the winning percentage of those decisions (10-8, or .556). So, if Weaver had a .559 winning percentage of 75% of his starts, his record would be 3-2. In short, due to his god-awful start, Weaver has cost the M's three wins. Instead of a 15-15 record upon their return home to Safeco, they could be sitting at 18-12, and leading the American League West by percentage points.
Remember this when they lose the division by a few games at the end of the year. Jeff Weaver is this year's Eddie Guardado...
Due to his atrocious start, Jarrod Washburn is going to be forced to be perfect against the Yankees, Cha Seing baek-style. Granted, Washburn does carry a career 2.80 ERA against the Yankees wiht a 4-4 record in nine career starts. He had a fairly strong start against the Yankees last Sunday, allowing just three runs in five-plus innings, but that was when the Mariners' offense disappeared in a 5-0 shutout. Washburn has neutralized a coupleo f Yankees threats- Jason Gimabi is batting just .194 off the southpaw in 36 career at-bats, while Derek Jeter just has a .107 isolated power off Washburn, picking up just three doubles in 28 career at-bats. It would probably be best, however, if Jarrod avoids A-Rod, as Alex has slugged five home-runs off Washburn in 39 career at-bats, with a 1.064 OPS.
Darrell Rasner, who tossed five-plus innings of shutout ball against the Mariners last Sunday, takes the mound for the Yankees tonight. I'm not sure he'll be so successful against the Yankees the second go around, but then again the Mariners develop a relationship with certain starters- Pedro, Blanton, Wang- which allows them to fold up like wet newspapers when they're on the mound. Rasner may very will be the next Mariner killer in pinstripes.
Tonight will be a close game, but I'll give the nod to the Yankees simply because they're the Yankees. The bullpens will decide it, but I think the final score will be along the lines of 4-3, with a dramatic homerun by A-Rod brining it home for New York,
Eleven pitches. Sigh.
By dropping to the Tigers 7-3, Weaver has become the first Mariners starter to lose his first six decisions since John Cummings went 0-6 on the season in 1993. To get an idea of just how Weaver's poor start has been hurting the team, I created a little mathematical formula to see what his record would be like if he was performing at the averages created by the m's starting rotation. Basically i looked at how many decisions were getting started from the rest of the Mariners' starters (18 out of 24, or 75%) and then looked at the winning percentage of those decisions (10-8, or .556). So, if Weaver had a .559 winning percentage of 75% of his starts, his record would be 3-2. In short, due to his god-awful start, Weaver has cost the M's three wins. Instead of a 15-15 record upon their return home to Safeco, they could be sitting at 18-12, and leading the American League West by percentage points.
Remember this when they lose the division by a few games at the end of the year. Jeff Weaver is this year's Eddie Guardado...
Due to his atrocious start, Jarrod Washburn is going to be forced to be perfect against the Yankees, Cha Seing baek-style. Granted, Washburn does carry a career 2.80 ERA against the Yankees wiht a 4-4 record in nine career starts. He had a fairly strong start against the Yankees last Sunday, allowing just three runs in five-plus innings, but that was when the Mariners' offense disappeared in a 5-0 shutout. Washburn has neutralized a coupleo f Yankees threats- Jason Gimabi is batting just .194 off the southpaw in 36 career at-bats, while Derek Jeter just has a .107 isolated power off Washburn, picking up just three doubles in 28 career at-bats. It would probably be best, however, if Jarrod avoids A-Rod, as Alex has slugged five home-runs off Washburn in 39 career at-bats, with a 1.064 OPS.
Darrell Rasner, who tossed five-plus innings of shutout ball against the Mariners last Sunday, takes the mound for the Yankees tonight. I'm not sure he'll be so successful against the Yankees the second go around, but then again the Mariners develop a relationship with certain starters- Pedro, Blanton, Wang- which allows them to fold up like wet newspapers when they're on the mound. Rasner may very will be the next Mariner killer in pinstripes.
Tonight will be a close game, but I'll give the nod to the Yankees simply because they're the Yankees. The bullpens will decide it, but I think the final score will be along the lines of 4-3, with a dramatic homerun by A-Rod brining it home for New York,
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